|Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni|
The Conservative candidate in Courtney-Alberni is John Duncan, who took 46% of vote in 2011, over the 2nd place NDPer with 43%.
The new riding is slightly less favourable to Duncan. If the 2011 votes are redistributed within its boundaries, the Conservative would have received 45%, the NDP 41%, the Greens and Liberals both at 7%.
By itself this should mean that strategic voters should support the NDP.
As it happens, a recent poll conducted by Insights West (Sept. 13) confirms that. It found that support in the riding at: Con. 33%, NDP 39%, Lib. 13%, Green 12%.
Update, Oct. 15. A new poll for BC from Insights West (pdf) confirms that strategic voters in Courtney-Alberni should vote NDP:
|Polls in Courtney-Alberni|
Again it is fairly clear that the NDP have the best choice for strategic voters who want to avoid vote splitting and defeat the Conservatives.
Votetogether.ca is expected to make a call for strategic voting in Courney-Alberni soon.
Update. A new poll (Oct. 13) shows that strategic voters should support the NDP.
|New poll in Courtney-Alberni|
- Strategic voting in Haldimand-Norfolk: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Oshawa: vote NDP
- Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal
- Strategic voting in South Okanagan-West Kootenay: vote NDP
- Strategic voting Kootenay-Columbia: vote NDP
For a full list of my calls, see here.